Weekend Betting Insights: Key Premier League Matches to Watch

As the Premier League gears up for another thrilling weekend, our betting expert Lewis Jones, known for his sharp insights, is back with some intriguing predictions. Set pieces might just be the deciding factor in this weekend’s clash. Chelsea has shown vulnerability in their defensive setup, particularly when it comes to dead-ball situations. Under David Moyes, Everton has honed their ability to capitalize on corners and free kicks, turning them into real scoring chances. Chelsea, on the other hand, has already let in seven goals from set pieces this season, the worst record in the league. This isn't just a recent trend; they've been conceding set-piece goals at an alarming rate since last season. That gives Everton defender James Tarkowski an enticing opportunity in the scorer market. He’s been a key player during set pieces, taking the lead for touches in the opponent's box. With three goals in his last 15 matches, including one this season, his odds at 14/1 with Sky Bet are too good to pass up. Switching gears to the Brentford vs. Leeds showdown, Andoni Iraola has struggled against Brentford, failing to win any of their last seven encounters. Brentford’s straightforward style often disrupts Iraola's philosophy, creating a physical contest that his teams struggle to navigate. While he now has a stronger squad than during his time at Bournemouth, that doesn’t automatically resolve the tactical issues. Liverpool's early-season form is also raising eyebrows. They've only managed six goals from open play, ranking low in the league for quality chances created. In fact, they’re tied for the fewest big chances, alongside Aston Villa and Coventry. Given these stats, considering a bet on under 3.5 goals might be worth a shot, especially with Brentford’s double chance also appealing at 11/10 with Sky Bet. Hull City is another team that seems to be underestimated. Despite losing just once this season, their impressive performances suggest they deserve more respect. They dominated expected goals even in their defeat to Newcastle and their draw against Chelsea. This Sunday, they face a Fulham side that has shown fragility in defense, notably letting leads slip against Ipswich and Crystal Palace. At 6/5 with Sky Bet, betting on Hull's double chance looks solid. Meanwhile, Manchester City’s success doesn’t quite align with their underlying statistics. They’ve been overperforming their expected goals, suggesting they might be more vulnerable than their results indicate. Sunderland’s performance against City, generating nearly three expected goals from their shots, highlights this. Therefore, betting on both teams to score at 4/5 with Sky Bet could be a savvy move. Lastly, keep an eye on Johan Manzambi, who could emerge as a star this season. Under Unai Emery, he’s taken on a key role and has been firing shots with impressive frequency. In his last three matches, he’s taken 13 shots, with several on target and a couple finding the net. With Newcastle struggling defensively, he could very well add to his tally this weekend.